1. "The world’s population is likely to peak within the current century."
Expectations have been revised downward year by year. Alarms are ringing here. These forecasts do not account for "black swan" events. A new pandemic or entirely new issues arising from global warming could accelerate this situation.
But don't lose hope. These calculations are not based on a world where people live to 120 years old and can still give birth at 60.
So, we can look at this issue from two perspectives. Yes, chronological age is increasing, and it seems difficult to prevent (https://www.aginga.com/post/population-is-aging). But we can slow down biological aging. Imagine a world where access to healthcare is democratized, everyone knows their biological age, and the World Health Organization announces two figures: the average age is 98, but hold on tight—the average biological age is decreasing. This year, it's down to 53.
Now, wake up and keep working to make this world a reality.
2. "In 63 countries and areas, containing 28 per cent of the world’s population in 2024, the size of the population peaked before 2024."
3. "Women today bear, one child fewer, on average, than they did around 1990. Currently, the global fertility rate stands at 2.3 live births per woman, down from 3.3 births in 1990."
Do you think this is a major problem?
Or is it a problem at all?
In my opinion, it is a natural consequence in a world where individual value has increased. Also, the reduction in the number of infants dying at birth has an impact.
While it may not explain the full extent of the decline over 30 years, the increased confidence that a child will survive could be delaying the age of childbirth.
I believe the pathological aspect of this situation lies elsewhere—in the increasing competitive education and business environment, along with growing economic difficulties. Expecting a change here is challenging.
Although we see a rise in work-life balance podcasts worldwide and companies claim to care about their employees' social privileges, I don't expect a significant change.
The only possibility in this regard might be the positive outcome of the artificial intelligence and robotics revolution for humanity.
Maybe this will reduce the need for labor. Competition among people will decrease. Basic needs will no longer be a hard-earned value.
People might then decide to have children.
4. "Early childbearing has harmful effects on young mothers and their children."
5. "Following the COVID-19 pandemic, global life expectancy is rising once again."
Cheers!!! Cheers!!! Cheers!!!
"Globally, life expectancy at birth reached 73.3 years in 2024, an increase of 8.4 years since 1995."
6. "The main driver of global population increase through mid-century will be the momentum created by growth in the past."
Imagine a future where the age of fertility can be extended. There are really promising studies in this area. It's actually a field I follow closely, but it's not the topic here.
7. "Countries with youthful populations and declining fertility have a limited time to benefit economically from an increasing concentration of population in the working ages."
Once again, we longevity enthusiasts step in. The average age of the global workforce is increasing. When we find solutions for sarcopenia and cognitive decline, this will no longer be a problem.
Of course, I don't know if this is a utopian dream. Instead of working from 22 to 65, a world where people work until they are 80 doesn't sound very appealing.
However, it is a well-known fact that the concept of retirement pensions is becoming strained in an aging world.
8. "By 2080, persons aged 65 or older will outnumber children under 18."
9. "For some populations, immigration will be the main driver of future growth."
10. "Gender equality and women’s empowerment help to counter rapid population growth or decline."
Source for the quotes: ReliefWeb
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